| Putting together a system is not as difficult | | | | odds the smaller the profit for a new bank. |
| as it may sound, even for a beginner. The | | | | |
| important thing, and with any betting, is | | | | The first 3 rules of any systems I quantify |
| that you write down every rule and follow it | | | | as the main system rules, they ensure we have |
| for at least 100 bets. You do not need to | | | | the main set of qualifiers we are looking |
| trade real money, paper trading is best at | | | | for. Those rules after, I regard as filters |
| first. If after 100 bets it is in profit, you | | | | to take out any facts I know are not |
| can then give it a betting bank and start | | | | profitable long term. |
| gambling. | | | | |
| | | | Rule 4: Horse age must be 6+ |
| Starting an untested system with real money, | | | | |
| and packing it in on its first losing run, | | | | This is because in the UK, horses are not |
| putting it down as failed, will only cost you | | | | generally full wound up for jumping until |
| more and more money in the long term. Being | | | | they are at least 6, so those of a lower age |
| patient saves you money. | | | | have erratic results that do not prove |
| | | | profitable, so no use including them. |
| So let us get down to starting a system eh? | | | | |
| I'll show you below how simple they are to | | | | Rule 5: Horse must have finished 2nd or worse |
| put together, this example is profitable, so | | | | on its last run. |
| no reason why you can not follow it with a | | | | |
| betting bank, but its yearly profits are not | | | | Horses that won last time out usually go off |
| huge, but have a go at your own, always | | | | at lower odds than they should, so an edge is |
| making sure that you understand way a rule | | | | taken away. |
| works. | | | | |
| | | | Rule 6: Must be a gelding. |
| The system below is designed for National | | | | |
| Hunt racing. | | | | Geldings win the majority of races over |
| | | | fences, and are generally have the most |
| 'The NH High SR Non-Handicap Fav System' | | | | consistent and reliable form. |
| | | | |
| Rule 1: Non-Handicap races only. | | | | Rule 7: Going must be Good-Soft or better. |
| | | | |
| This ensures that we do not include handicap | | | | Any softer than this and results can get a |
| races, which are more difficult to get | | | | bit random. |
| profitable systems out of. Although when you | | | | |
| do they are more profitable than non-handicap | | | | That is it. Over the last 10 years it has |
| races. | | | | produced a 48pt profit even at those low |
| | | | odds, and a 63% SR overall. It has had 3 |
| Rule 2: Forecast Favourite only (if joint | | | | losing years in that period, the worst being |
| VOID bet) | | | | 5pts, but using the betting exchange prices, |
| | | | they would also have shown a profit.. There |
| Just to make sure we have one clear qualifier | | | | are around 100 bets per year. |
| for our non-handicap race. | | | | |
| | | | So you can see by this example, it does not |
| Rule 3: Forecast price must be odds on. | | | | profit every year, but long term it still |
| | | | shows a profit, and it is long term that any |
| I know that the lower the odds the more | | | | professional gambler will tell you is the |
| likely it is to win, although the lower the | | | | only time span that matters. |